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India’s Trade Deficit Widened With Top Partners In 2023-24

Source: India records trade deficit with 9 of top 10 trading partners in 2023-24 (The Hindu, May 27, 2024)

According to official data, India experienced a trade deficit—the gap between imports and exports—with nine of its top ten trading partners, including China, Russia, Singapore, and Korea, in the fiscal year 2023-24.

Increased Trade Deficit

  • The trade deficit with China, Russia, Korea, and Hong Kong increased in the last fiscal year compared to 2022-23.
  • Trade gap with UAE, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Indonesia, and Iraq narrowed.

Specific Trade Deficit Numbers

  • China: Increased to $85 billion in 2023-24 from $83.2 billion in 2022-23.
  • Russia: Increased to $57.2 billion from $43 billion.
  • Korea: Increased to $14.71 billion from $14.57 billion.
  • Hong Kong: Increased to $12.2 billion from $8.38 billion.

Top Trading Partners

  • China: Largest trading partner with $118.4 billion in 2023-24.
  • U.S.: Bilateral trade stood at $118.28 billion in 2023-24.
  • Top trading partner in 2021-22 and 2022-23.

Free Trade Agreements: India has free trade agreements with Singapore, UAE, Korea, and Indonesia.

Trade Surplus

  • India has a trade surplus of $36.74 billion with the U.S. in 2023-24.
  • Other surplus countries: U.K., Belgium, Italy, France, and Bangladesh.

Overall Trade Deficit: Total trade deficit narrowed to $238.3 billion in the last fiscal from $264.9 billion in the previous fiscal.

Trade Deficit Insights

  • A deficit is not always bad if a country is importing raw materials or intermediary products to boost manufacturing and exports.
  • However, it puts pressure on the domestic currency.

Bilateral Trade Deficit:

  • A bilateral trade deficit with a country isn’t a major issue unless it makes us overly reliant on that country’s critical supplies.
  • A rising overall trade deficit is harmful to the economy.

Currency Depreciation:

  • Rising trade deficit, even from importing raw materials and intermediates, can cause the country’s currency to depreciate.
  • Depreciation requires more foreign currency for imports, making imports more expensive and worsening the deficit.

Borrowing and Debt:

  • To cover the growing deficit, the country might need to borrow more from foreign lenders.
  • Increased external debt can deplete foreign exchange reserves and signal economic instability to investors.
  • Economic instability can lead to reduced foreign investment.

Reducing Trade Deficit

  • Boost exports.
  • Reduce unnecessary imports.
  • Develop domestic industries.
  • Manage currency and debt levels effectively.

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